XRP’s Consolidation Phase Signals Potential Major Rally Ahead, Analysts Identify Historical Accumulation Pattern
Despite a 34% price decline since August 2025 and three consecutive months of downward movement, including a 3% drop in December, XRP is showing surprising structural strength according to cryptocurrency analysts. The digital asset has demonstrated notable resilience at critical support levels, with its current price of $2.06 being identified by prominent analyst EGRAG Crypto as representing a significant accumulation phase. This pattern bears striking resemblance to the pre-rally accumulation observed in late 2023 and early 2024, suggesting that the current consolidation may be setting the stage for another substantial upward movement. The prolonged consolidation period, while appearing bearish on surface metrics, actually mirrors historical precedents where extended periods of price compression preceded explosive rallies. Market observers note that this underlying strength defies the broader bearish sentiment that has dominated recent cryptocurrency discussions, indicating that XRP may be positioning itself for a breakout. The fractal analysis points to the $2.06 level as a critical accumulation zone where smart money appears to be positioning, similar to patterns that historically preceded significant appreciation. This technical perspective offers a counter-narrative to the short-term price declines, emphasizing the importance of structural support levels and historical pattern recognition in cryptocurrency valuation. As the market approaches the end of 2025, this analysis suggests that XRP's current price action may represent a strategic buying opportunity rather than a signal for continued decline, with the potential for substantial gains once the accumulation phase completes and buying pressure overwhelms selling resistance.
XRP Defies Bearish Sentiment as Analyst Points to Structural Strength
XRP's 34% decline since August 2025 masks underlying strength, with the token demonstrating resilience at critical support levels. EGRAG Crypto's fractal analysis suggests the current $2.06 price represents accumulation reminiscent of pre-rally patterns in late 2023-2024.
The asset's prolonged consolidation—now spanning three consecutive monthly declines including December's 3% drop—mirrors historical precedents that preceded major movements. Technical setups indicate transformed support zones that could catalyze upward momentum.
Price targets remain ambitious at $7-$15, with specific resistance clusters identified at $14.82-$15.70. Market structure analysis contradicts surface-level bearish indicators, framing recent weakness as necessary consolidation before the next leg up.
Ripple Exec Warns Banks Without Stablecoin Strategy Risk Obsolescence
Ripple's Middle East and Africa chief Reece Merrick delivered a stark warning to traditional financial institutions during an interview in Abu Dhabi. "Any bank or payment entity not actively developing a stablecoin strategy is already falling behind," Merrick stated, underscoring the sector's accelerating crypto adoption timeline.
The comments followed Ripple's regulatory milestone in the Abu Dhabi Global Market, where its RLUSD stablecoin gained recognition as an Accepted Fiat-Referenced Token. This classification permits licensed entities within the ADGM jurisdiction to integrate RLUSD into regulated financial operations—a strategic foothold in one of the Gulf's most progressive crypto hubs.
Merrick framed the approval as validation of Ripple's compliance-first approach, noting the designation enables institutional usage "within their flows, within their operations." The development signals growing Middle Eastern institutional acceptance of blockchain-based settlement solutions, with Ripple positioning itself at the intersection of traditional finance and digital asset infrastructure.
Ripple Nears Approval for National Bank Charter, Potentially Boosting XRP
Ripple's ambition to establish a US-based bank is nearing fruition as reports indicate an imminent approval of its national banking charter. Market analyst 'Steph is Crypto' sparked Optimism within the crypto community by suggesting the license could be granted soon, a development widely viewed as bullish for XRP.
The San Francisco-based payments firm submitted its application to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency in July 2025. Approval WOULD enable Ripple to operate a New York-headquartered national trust bank as a wholly owned subsidiary—a strategic move that could reshape its role in global finance and strengthen XRP's utility in cross-border payments.
Regulatory timelines suggest the OCC's decision should arrive by early October, marking a critical inflection point for both Ripple and the XRP ecosystem. The banking charter would provide Ripple with greater operational flexibility amid its ongoing legal battles with the SEC.
XRP Exchange Balances Hit Record Low Amid Price Decline
XRP holdings on centralized exchanges have plummeted to their lowest level since the cryptocurrency's 2012 launch, marking a historic divergence from price action. Glassnode data reveals a 45% reduction in exchange balances from November to December 2025, with approximately 1.35 billion XRP exiting trading platforms.
The outflow comes despite XRP's underwhelming price performance this year. Exchange reserves have steadily declined from 3.8-4 billion tokens in January to current levels around 2.6 billion. Market analysts note this unprecedented disconnect between supply availability and valuation metrics.
Chad Steingraber highlighted the anomaly through visual analysis of Glassnode's dual-trend chart, where exchange supply (green line) has decisively broken below price structure (black line) for the first time in XRP's history. The sustained drawdown suggests shifting holder behavior amid regulatory clarity for Ripple's native token.
XRP Wallet Founder Warns Investors of Escalating Impersonation Scams
Wietse Wind, founder of a leading XRP wallet, has issued a stark warning about a sophisticated scam targeting the XRP community. Attackers are posing as official support personnel, using cloned profiles and polished communication to harvest seed phrases under the guise of wallet assistance. The operation has already resulted in material losses, exploiting the irreversible nature of XRP transactions.
The scam employs scripted playbooks, with threat actors impersonating recovery specialists or wallet engineers. They initiate contact via direct messages or emails, building false trust before escalating to urgent requests for seed phrases. Once compromised, wallets secured by 12- or 24-word keys are instantly drained—a risk amplified by XRP's Immutable ledger.